The Italian National Health Institute ISS has published a new report on test-positive deaths:
(good time to learn some italian!)
www.epicentro.iss.it/[...]

The median age is 80.5 years (79.5 for men, 83.7 for women).
10% of the deceased was over 90 years old; 90% of the deceased was over 70 years old.
At most 0.8% of the deceased had no pre-existing chronic illnesses.
Approximately 75% of the deceased had two or more pre-existing conditions, 50% had three more pre-existing conditions, in particular heart disease, diabetes and cancer.
Five of the deceased were between 31 and 39 years old, all of them with serious pre-existing health conditions (e.g. cancer or heart disease).
The National Health Institute hasn’t yet determined what the patients examined ultimately died of and refers to them in general terms as Covid19-positive deaths.

A report in the Italian newspaper Corriere della Sera points out that Italian intensive care units already collapsed under the marked flu wave in 2017/2018. They had to postpone operations, call nurses back from holiday and ran out of blood donations.

German virologist Hendrik Streeck argues that Covid19 is unlikely to increase total mortality in Germany, which normally is around 2500 people per day. Streeck mentions the case of a 78-year-old man with preconditions who died of heart failure, subsequently tested positive for Covid19 and thus was included in the statistics of Covid19 deaths.

According to Stanford Professor John Ioannidis, the new coronavirus may be no more dangerous than some of the common coronaviruses, even in older people. Ioannidis argues that there is no reliable medical data backing the measures currently decided upon.

The president of the Italian Civil Protection Service actually went out of his way to remind people of the nature of Italy’s fatality figures in a morning briefing on 20/03: "I want you to remember these people died WITH the coronavirus and not FROM the coronavirus”

www.gov.uk/government/collections/wuhan-novel-coronavirus

As of 19 March 2020, COVID-19 is no longer considered to be a High Consequence Infectious Disease (HCID) in the UK.

The 4 nations public health HCID group made an interim recommendation in January 2020 to classify COVID-19 as an HCID. This was based on consideration of the UK HCID criteria about the virus and the disease with information available during the early stages of the outbreak. Now that more is known about COVID-19, the public health bodies in the UK have reviewed the most up to date information about COVID-19 against the UK HCID criteria. They have determined that several features have now changed; in particular, more information is available about mortality rates (low overall), and there is now greater clinical awareness and a specific and sensitive laboratory test, the availability of which continues to increase.

The Advisory Committee on Dangerous Pathogens (ACDP) is also of the opinion that COVID-19 should no longer be classified as an HCID.

.

There has been a surge of 40 new confirmed cases in Yunnan, but all deemed "imported."

A reminder to keep up our hands hygiene and vigilance.

**Thread cleaned up**

User(s) banned for fear mongering and sharing unverified news without a source.

Some good news on transparency.

China's National Health Commission (NHC) announced at today's daily briefing that starting tomorrow, Wednesday April 1, asymptomatic Covid-19 confirmed cases will be included in the official tally and disclosed during daily epidemic reports henceforth.

Perhaps the 1,541 asymptomatic cases will be reported tomorrow through the central communicable disease report system.

www.scio.gov.cn/xwfbh/xwbfbh/wqfbh/42311/42816/index.htm

My earlier posts about asymtomatic cases were reflections on the asymtomatic cases in Wuhan who where in total isolation like everybody else in that city. Because they were in strict isolation they by now should be counted as recovered cases.
Asymtomatic cases can spread also probably in a far miner degree than symtomatic cases.

Would for instance not recommend a serious kissing session with them before they are fully immune

；-)

A source if you want to get into the weeds with a free newsletter:

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent population health research center at UW Medicine, part of the University of Washington, that provides rigorous and comparable measurement of the world's most important health problems

www.healthdata.org/

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