guys i've been following the conversation here quietly but thoroughly ..
@alien, i would definitely not study journalism here. but instead listen to fixitwithahammer's advice to write a good article and use it to get a job or internship. im actually working on it right now. its about the one child policy. my claim is that although families can now have more than one baby, they will still decide to only have one. any opinion on that?, did you came across this phenomena and do you agree?
@vicar, if i write to a newspaper or publisher then i would, off course (!), not use this text slang like i do in this forum. i find this forum to be more easy going so i let myself use it, like i do with friends. i do agree on your comment that: who knows who might be reading and will now write here in a more proper way..... also, like i said already in this massage, im now working on my article, collecting interviews, opinions and information. i would love to hear your opinion on the matter i presented.
Haven't heard a lot about what you are claiming, although an awful lot of people, especially in the countryside I think, certainly have had gripes about the one-child policy. I can't agree or disagree with what you are claiming, but I'd advise also checking on info through the perspectives of class, ethnicity, economic level, educational level, residence, generation, etc. - not just that of 'China', despite the very strong national impact that government policy has made on everybody - i.e., 'nationality' is just one of a number of perspectives from which to perceive things, and although it's a very important one, it does, I think, get (relatively) over-used, one reason being that national governments all want us to think this way before thinking about anything else - anyway, a lot of things have changed in China and continue to do so, in addition to state policies. As I'm sure you're aware, modern urbanization everywhere tends to reduce family size.
Interesting subject.
Since the new child policy I have asked a number of people on this. Generally, most have said one child is sufficient due to two factors; time and money which is understandable considering that both parents these days need to be working to get the quality of life expected of a couple 'doing well' in life. Then there's the the attention each child has been expected to get from parents with their education. Of course in areas outside of the city some couples will continue to have 2 or 3 kids as when the one child policy was in place. It's preferred to have a son and if daughter is born they my want to try agin. You should research this more and use it in your article. Also, when the one child policy was in place, people in the city would have a second child anyway if they really wanted to and had the means and pay the fine. So I reckon it will be the same under the two child policy - people will have two kids if they can afford it and have the time and the two kids will more likely be born not long apart timewise to get the upbringing out of the way to leave time for other things in the future. Furthermore, worth noting is that in China it's widely acknowledged that having a child at the age of over 35 is highly risky, so people at this age or more will probably opt against another child. I would say younger wealthy couples will go for 2 kids, only time will tell. Let's see in a year or two
I think the change in the law reflects the state's understanding of the changes vicar and I have mentioned, as well as the one which has been in the press: that the state is worried about there being not enough kids to take care of older generations. International economic & political competition, as well as internal economic competition, means the state feels the necessity to limit social services for many in the name of competitive growth, on a global basis. End of the day, though, is the fact that there are too many people in the world, so one may doubt as to whether present arrangements are a good way to run a species - nothing lasts forever.
People deciding to still only have one child, has been covered in the medial a lot in China. This includes the reasons why, and the concerns that this decision in causing.
This has also been covered in western media. Old news I am afraid.
The change in rules will of course cause a few more 2nd children (I would guess perhaps 15-20% of couples with one child will have another in the next couple of years), but many will stick with one. It was intended to be a temporary policy, and was probably kept a bit too long. It tackled one problem (overpopulation) and produced another in it's place (a top heavy society). My mother-in-law has encouraged my sister in law (who is in her 40s and has an 11 year old daughter) to have a 2nd child, but I'm not holding my breath. I doubt whether most Chinese people have sex with their spouse once they have conceived once (what are 小三 for otherwise?), and even if they do, women in their 40s aren't usually very fertile.
@Haali, I doubt your doubt is accurate.
@Alien, great comment, and i couldn't agree more ! . my article is about the phenomena among middle class chinese living in the city, and this should be well specified.
also, the reasons for abandoning the 3 decade diplomacy is like you said, they now need more people to light the slowing economy and more people to take care of the old generation.
@vicar, i didnt quite understand your sentence :"Then there's the the attention each child has been expected to get from parents with their education". who expect that? the child or the society ?
and about the fine and the exceptions for the law when it was in place, im all aware of that and already mentioned it in my article . thank you for mentioning it though, obviously this information is crucial for understanding the big picture.
@tigertiger, in chinese media i could guess this was already covered. but in western media im wondering if this topic was made into a whole article or was just mentioned in a comment as part of an article?
More to take care of the old generation if the state wants to save on social services, yes - but I wouldn't guess more people are needed to light the slowing economy - maybe you've got some data I don't have.
@eladi
Main articles in US and UK media. This stuff already went out on the wire. Suggest you research what has already been reported as it will save you, and the rest of us, a lot of time.